Monday, 21 August 2023

Weakened Hilary still posing serious threat to Southern California and Southwest

Weakened Hilary still posing serious threat to Southern California and Southwest

Weakened Hilary still posing serious threat to Southern California and Southwest











Hilary weakened to a post-tropical cyclone early Monday after pummeling Southern California with rain over the weekend, but meteorologists warned of the continued potential for life-threatening flooding generated by the storm.







Hilary was expected to dissipate later on Monday after producing up to an additional four inches of rain across parts of California and Nevada.


A flash flood warning in Los Angeles County was in effect until to 8 a.m. local time, and another was extended until 9 a.m. for parts of San Bernardino County, where forecasters warned of low-water crossings and poor drainage that could make roads impassable. Parts of Inyo and Mono Counties, near the border with Nevada, were also under a flash flood warning for several more hours.


There were no immediate reports of deaths or injuries. Fire crews rescued at least three people who were trapped by rising waters.


Schools were shut on Monday for hundreds of thousands of children in Los Angeles, San Diego and the Coachella Valley. But the University of Southern California, which reported “only isolated flooding,” said it would begin the fall semester on Monday as scheduled.



Where is flooding expected?



Hilary "is expected to produce additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches, with isolated storm total amounts to 12 inches, across portions of Southern California and Southern Nevada through today," the hurricane center said. "Continued flash and urban flooding, locally catastrophic, is expected."






What's more, 1 to 5 inches of rain was expected across portions of Oregon and Idaho through Tuesday morning "resulting in localized, some significant, flash flooding," the center added.


In Nevada, officials remain concerned about dangerous flooding across the western Mojave Desert, which is at high risk for flash flooding, "an exceedingly rare occurrence," the National Weather Service office in Las Vegas said Sunday on social media.


Southern California was experiencing heavy rain in Los Angeles and surrounding counties, CBS News Los Angeles reported.


The National Weather Service said Ventura County was experiencing life-threatening flooding and San Bernardino, Riverside and nearby mountains were at high risk of flash floods. San Bernardino and Riverside Counties issued evacuation orders and Orange County issued evacuation warnings.


Meanwhile, the Inland Empire and mountains are at a high risk of flash flooding, with some communities expected to get 6-10 inches of rain, according to CBS Los Angeles.



How is Southern California dealing with Hilary?



As of 2 a.m. PDT Monday, Hilary was some 390 miles north of San Diego 75 miles northeast of Bakersfield, California, and racing north at 29 mph with maximum sustained winds of 35 mph.






Although no longer a hurricane, the system was still bringing heavy rainfall to the area.


It was the first time that the National Hurricane Center issued a tropical storm warning for Southern California, and California Gov. Gavin Newsom declared a state of emergency ahead of its arrival.


President Biden on Sunday said he has asked FEMA to deploy personnel and supplies to California. Mr. Biden also said the Coast Guard has pre-positioned aircraft to allow for rapid response and rescue efforts.


"My Administration also deployed federal personnel to Nevada to ensure the state has additional support, and we will continue to coordinate with California, Nevada, and Arizona on any resources they might need," Mr. Biden said.


On Sunday evening, Los Angeles Unified School District, the second largest school district in the country, announced all schools, campuses and after-school programs would be closed Monday due to the storm.


"This was not an easy decision," the district said on social media. "Los Angeles Unified acknowledges the unique, unprecedented nature of Tropical Storm Hilary, which has garnered city, county, and state declarations of emergency."


Pasadena Unified School District followed suit later Sunday night.






The California Department of Parks and Recreation on Saturday ordered a temporary closure of all San Diego and Orange County state beaches and several state parks.


Disneyland announced Saturday that parks would be closing early Sunday, with Disney California Adventure Park closing at 9 p.m., Disneyland Park closing at 10 p.m. and the Downtown Disney District will close at 11 p.m.


The San Diego Padres, Los Angeles Dodgers and Los Angeles Angels all moved their scheduled Sunday home games to Saturday double-headers in anticipation of the storm.



When will Hilary hit Las Vegas?



Nevada will see heavy rain into Monday morning with likely flooding in Las Vegas and "significant flooding" in Death Valley National Park, the Weather Channel reported.


Nevada Gov. Joe Lombardo declared a state of emergency Sunday afternoon due to the "imminent impact" of Tropical Storm Hilary across the state. "Significant damage to public and private property are likely, including multiple transportation routes," the declaration read.






That came days after he announced that 100 National Guard troops had been activated ahead of the tropical storm.


The storm broke rainfall records in multiple locations across Southern California. Palm Springs received nearly a year’s worth of rain – 4.3 inches – in 24 hours, one of the rainiest days in the city’s history. Nearly half a year’s worth of rain fell in just a six-hour period there.


Death Valley nearly set a new mark for wettest day on record with 1.68 inches of rain. Nearly a month’s worth of rain fell there in one hour on Sunday, with 0.63 inches reported by the Furnace Creek Observation site. The area usually receives just 0.21 inches of rain the entire month of August.


More rain is expected to cause dangerous flash, urban and arroyo flooding in some places, including landslides, mudslides and debris flows. Localized flooding is expected into Tuesday morning across northern portions of the Intermountain West.


In Palm Springs, roads already are closed, and 911 lines have been down since about 10:30 p.m. Sunday night, Mayor Grace Garner said Monday on “CNN This Morning.” Residents should text 911 in case of emergency.


“There is no way in or out of Palm Springs,” Garner said.


“We are not used to this level of precipitation, generally – certainly not in the middle of summer,” San Diego Mayor Todd Gloria told CNN on Sunday.


“With what we’re expecting, it may overwhelm us.”






Here’s the latest:


  • Flood watches are in effect for more than 16 million people from Southern California to northern Idaho. Places that normally don’t see flash flooding “will flood,” the National Weather Service said. “Lives and property are in great danger through Monday.”


  • Strong and gusty winds are due to persist Monday across portions of the Western US, particularly in and near areas of higher terrain. Coastal tropical storm warnings have been discontinued.


  • More than 40,000 customers are in the dark across California, PowerOutage.us reports. About 20,000 customers in Southern California have no power, Southern California Edison President and CEO Steve Powell said Monday on “CNN This Morning,” adding crews are out “looking to bring power back on as safely as we possibly can.”


  • People in parts of Southern California should not travel unless they are fleeing an area under flooding or under an evacuation order, the National Weather Service has warned.


  • Flooding, mudslides and downed trees and wires are widely reported across Southern California. At least nine people were rescued Sunday in a San Diego riverbed, San Diego Fire-Rescue said, with water rescues also reported in Ventura County and Palm Springs.






To the west, Los Angeles and Ventura counties saw “considerable damage” Sunday night amid reports of life-threatening flash flooding, and rock and mudslides, the National Weather Service said, adding up to half an inch of rain could fall per hour.


Cars were stuck in floodwaters in the Spanish Hills area, the National Weather Service reported.


And as Hilary triggered flood warnings across Los Angeles, a magnitude 5.1 earthquake on Sunday afternoon shook the area and other parts of Southern California, the United States Geological Survey said.


Roads deluged with mud and water Once a hurricane, Hilary weakened as it made landfall Sunday in Mexico – where at least one person died – then crossed into the Golden State. The storm’s center was roughly 10 miles southeast of downtown Los Angeles around 8 p.m. local time Sunday, moving north with weakened 45-mph winds, according to the hurricane center.


Here’s what else to know:


  • Three cities in California — Cathedral City, Indio and Palm Springs — said 911 lines were down. Officials in Los Angeles said there had been reports of at least 150 tree-related issues in the city, as well as downed electrical wires and 17 minor mudflows. About 40,000 customers were without electricity in California.


  • Just as the first bands of heavy rain fell on Los Angeles on Sunday afternoon, a 5.1-magnitude earthquake — unrelated to the tropical storm — struck northwest of the city. There were no reports of major damage or injuries, but an estimated 12 million people live in the affected area, further fraying the region’s nerves.


  • Gov. Gavin Newsom of California declared a state of emergency in several counties in the south, including Los Angeles, Orange and San Diego. The city of Indio, which has about 92,000 residents and is in Riverside County, also declared a state of emergency on Sunday. Across the state, officials canceled events, closed parks and beaches, and deployed more than 7,500 emergency responders.


  • Before Hilary reached the United States, it battered Baja California, Mexico, where one person died and another was missing, but Mexico’s president, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, posted in Spanish that “fortunately, there was not much damage.”















































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Russian recon officers, assault team seize Ukrainian stronghold near Krasny Liman

3Russian recon officers, assault team seize Ukrainian stronghold near Krasny Liman

Russian recon officers, assault team seize Ukrainian stronghold near Krasny Liman





©Press service of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation / TASS






The Central Military District’s reconnaissance detected the location of a stronghold of Ukrainian nationalists, ensuring its seizure in the Krasny Liman direction, the Russian Defense Ministry told TASS on Monday.







The combat task was accomplished by an assault team aided by T-90 tanks and BMP-2 infantry fighting vehicles.


"While on a combat mission, the servicemen moved out to a reconnaissance area where, with the use of a drone, they detected the location of an enemy stronghold. Having received data on the target, the assault team, aided by T-90 banks and a BMP-2 infantry fighting vehicle, advanced to capture the stronghold. Coming very close to the positions, the heavy weapons fired on the enemy head-on, using the `tanks carousel’ tactic. The attack at lightning speed and [the Russians’] firepower destroyed the stronghold and discouraged the Ukrainian personnel from further resistance, enabling the assault team to safely seize the stronghold," the ministry said.


The recon officers used the language of Tuva for more secrecy in the event of a radio intercept.



Russian forces strike Ukrainian assault teams in Krasny Liman area



©Andrey Rubtsov/TASS


Russia’s Battlegroup Center struck the enemy assault teams who attempted to attack the Russian Armed Forces’ positions in the Krasny Liman direction, Battlegroup Spokesman Alexander Savchuk told TASS on Monday.


"Near Torskoye and in a segment of the Serebryanka forestry, the enemy made five attempts to retake positions. With artillery fire support, Battlegroup Center’s forward based units inflicted fire damage on assault teams of Ukraine’s 63rd and 42nd mechanized brigades who attempted to attack Russian troops," Savchuk reported.


According to the spokesman, the enemy lost more than 30 militants. Also, a tank, an infantry fighting vehicle and two cars were destroyed.


"Some 30 enemy artillery positions were detected and jammed in counter-battery fighting. A 120mm mortar crew was struck, and the Tor-M1 missile system shot down a Ukrainian drone near Kremennaya," he said.


The battlegroup’s assault and army aviation delivered eight missile strikes on the enemy’s man-and firepower amassed near Novosadovoye and Chervona Dibrova, Savchuk added.

















































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Sunday, 20 August 2023

Aceh punya Cerutu Gayo yang berpita cukai dan ekonomis

Aceh punya Cerutu Gayo yang berpita cukai dan ekonomis

Aceh punya Cerutu Gayo yang berpita cukai dan ekonomis











Bagi Anda pecinta cerutu, coba rasakan sensasi dari gulungan daun tembakau khas Gayo Aceh ini. Cerutu Gayo terkenal dengan ciri khas aromanya yang kuat dan sensasi rasanya yang cenderung manis.







Gayo Mountain Cigar ini, merupakan cerutu pertama di Provinsi Aceh yang memiliki pita cukai serta harganya tergolong ekonomis sehingga dapat dinikmati oleh seluruh kalangan.


Setahun yang lalu, pernah disampaikan oleh Menteri Koperasi dan UKM (MenKopUKM), Teten Masduki. Menurut Teten, produk Cerutu Gayo dengan brand atau merek dagang Gayo Mountain Cigar (GMC) bisa menjadi produk unggulan khas Aceh Tengah. Produk Cerutu Gayo diketahui sudah diluncurkan ke pasaran di Galeri Kopi Indonesia, Aceh Tengah dan bahkan sudah beredar ke luar negeri.


Kehadiran produk handmade (bukan pabrikan) ini disebut bakal menjadi cikal bakal lahirnya industri tembakau lainnya di daerah Takengon.


Hal itu mengingat semakin maraknya permintaan tembakau Gayo belakangan ini.


Secara tradisional, tembakau Gayo cukup dikenal karena aroma dan cita rasanya. Bahkan, tembakau Gayo pernah mengalami masa keemasan pada era 1980-an.


"Ini bisa dijadikan sebagai produk unggulan dari daerah Aceh Tengah. Dan kita harus terus angkat produk-produk unggulan dari daerah seperti ini," ungkap Teten dalam siaran pers.


Dengan market demand yang sudah jelas, Teten menyebutkan cerutu khas Gayo ini tinggal dipoles dengan perkuatan branding dan perluasan pasar.


"Artinya, produk unggulan dari Aceh Tengah tidak hanya kopi dan produk holtikultura, melainkan juga cerutu," jelas Teten


Kakanwil Bea Cukai Aceh, Dr Safuadi menyatakan, melihat data permintaan cukai rokok di Aceh setiap tahun terus meningkat, mengindikasikan permintaan tembakau Aceh, dari tujuh pabrik rokok lokal yang ada di daerah ini, terus bertambah, bahkan berpeluang untuk diekspor ke luar negeri.


“Alasan kami menyatakan hal tersebut, karena tembakau hijau Aceh miliki rasa khas yang nikmat, sehingga potensinya untuk diekspor cukup besar. Komoditi kopi saja bisa diekspor, apalagi tembakau,” kata Safuadi pada acara pertemuan dengan wartawan di Kantor Wilayah Bea Cukai Aceh, Jumat, 14/07/2023.


Safuadi mengatakan, kalau dilihat dari penerimaan nilai cukai yang diterima dari Januari-Juni 2023, senilai baru Rp 281 juta, dari cukai rokok sebesar 77,93 persen atau senilai Rp 219,4 juta.


Cerutu Gayo dengan brand atau merek dagang Gayo Mountain Cigar (GMC)(Dok. Humas KemenKopUKM)


Tapi, pertumbuhan bulanannya cukup tinggi. Bulan Januari tumbuh sebesar 339,42 persen, Februari tumbuh 249,35 persen, Maret pertumbuhannya rendah, hanya 3,62 persen, April minus 23,17 persen, tapi bulan Mei tumbuh lagi sebesar 164,55 persen dan Juni 23,38 persen.


Ini artinya dalam enam bulan atau satu semester, permintaan pita cukai rokok di Aceh, mengalami pertumbuhan 5 kali, satu kali turun. Kondisi itu, menunjukkan prospek penjualan rokok lokal di Aceh, cukup besar di dalam negeri. Sekarang ini tinggal siapa yang siap mengembangkan tanaman tembakau Aceh, untuk pemenuhan kebutuhan bahan baku rokok lokal Aceh itu, yang permintaan pasarnya cukup tinggi, di luar Aceh.


Sampai Juni ini, sebut Safuadi, ada tujuh pabrik rokok yang terdapat di Aceh, yaitu PT Hawa Makmu Beurata, Rampago Jaya, Keretek Gayo, Gayo Mountain Cigar, SWY Gayo Cigar, CV Seulanga dan Muger. Ketujuh pabrik rokok tersebut, ada yang memproduksi rokok cerutu dan rokok keretek.


Rokok keretek dan cerutu dari Aceh, kata Safuadi, pasarnya lebih banyak di luar Aceh, dari pada di daerahnya sendiri. Perokok dari luar Aceh, sangat suka dengan cita rasa tembakau dari Aceh, makanya peluang ekonomis untuk pengembangan tembakau Aceh, cukup besar di daerah ini.


Safuadi menyatakan, kenapa dalam pertemuan hari ini dengan wartawan, ia lebih banyak menjelaskan soal pengembangan peluang bisnis tembakau. Alasannya, karena dilihat dari permintaan pita cukai rokok lokal, pertumbuhannya cukup besar. Kondisi ini membuktikan, kalau permintaan pita cukai rokok dari ketujuh pabrik rokok itu, dalam satu semester pertumbuhannya cukup besar, berarti permintaan tembakaunya juga cukup banyak.


Sebagai Kakanwil Bea Cukai Aceh, kata Dr Safuadi, informasi ini harus kami sampaikan kepada media online dan cetak, untuk disebar luaskan kepada masyarakat Aceh, agar ada investor lokal yang berminat untuk mengembangkan tanaman tembakau di Aceh secara luas.


Keuntungan tanam tembakau itu, sebut Safuadi, cukup lumayan besar. Informasi yang kami dapatkan dari petani yang sudah tanam bakong Aceh tersebut, dalam satu hektar tanam tembakau, keuntungan bersih bisa mencapai Rp 16 juta.


Kakanwil Ditjen Bea Cukai Aceh menginginkan pengembangan tanaman tembakau Aceh bisa dilakukan seperti Konsorsium Bawang Merah Pidie, mengembangkan tanaman bawang merah lokal yang dimulai dari luasan kecil sekitar 2 – 5 hektar, kemudian naik menjadi 10 – 20 hektar dan kini sudah mencapai ratusan hektar.


Selanjutnya, panen bawang merahnya sudah mampu menstabilisasikan harga bawang merah lokal di pasar lokal dan menekan laju inflasi. Kalau peluang bisnis tanaman tembakau Aceh ini, tidak disebarluaskan di wilayah Aceh, peluang bisnis tersebut bisa saja diambil pihak luar Aceh.


Menurut pengakuan tujuh pabrik rokok keretek dan cerutu di Aceh, ungkap Safuadi, jenis tembakau Aceh, sudah mulai ada yang menanamnya di luar Aceh, terutama di wilayah dingin Provinsi Sumut dan Pulau Jawa.


Sejumlah pabrik rokok yang ada di Aceh, jika stok tembakau lokal khas Aceh di tingkat petani habis, mereka harus membelinya di Sumut dan dari Pulau Jawa. Gerakan menanam tembakau Aceh, menurut Safuadi, bisa menjadi komoditi pengganti tanam ganja.


Tanam ganja, bila ketahuan aparat penegak hukum, bisa ditangkap dan dipenjara/pidana. Tanam tembakau, memberikan keuntungan besar bagi petaninya. “Oleh karena itu, mari kita sama-sama tanam, agar industri rokok keretek dan cerutu di Aceh, bisa tumbuh dan berkembang menjadi industri rokok keretek dan cerutu yang besar, yang bisa mengekspor produk rokoknya ke luar negeri.


Jangan seperti sekarang ini, masyarakat membeli rokok seludupan non pita cukai rokok dari luar negeri, seperti Rokok Lukman dari Vietnam dan lainnya. “ Padahal, rokok lokal yang dibuat tujuh pabrik yang ada sekarang ini, cita rasa rokoknya cukup nikmat dan harganya juga terjagkau sekitar Rp 12.000/bungkus,” ujar Safuadi.

















































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Hasil Kejuaraan Voli Asia - Indonesia Bangkit, Gulung Kazakhstan 3-1

Hasil Kejuaraan Voli Asia - Indonesia Bangkit, Gulung Kazakhstan 3-1





Timnas voli putra Indonesia memimpin klasemen Grup C Kejuaraan Voli Asia 2023. (ANTARA FOTO/YULIUS SATRIA WIJAYA)






Timnas voli putra mengalahkan Indonesia Kazakhstan di Shahidan Ahandoust Hall, Urmia, Iran, Minggu sore, 20/08/2023.







Saling serang berbalas poin mengawali laga. Timnas voli Indonesia dan Kazakhstan kerap menghasilkan poin. Situasi tersebut membuat skor terus seimbang.


Indonesia mengumpulkan keunggulan 8-6 pada saat official time out pertama pada set pembuka. Keunggulan tak bisa dijaga, lantaran serangan Kazakhstan kembali menerobos pertahanan Indonesia.


Serangkaian kesalahan dilakukan Kazakhstan, namun hal tersebut tak bisa dimanfaatkan anak asuh Jiang Jie. Skor masih tetap imbang. Kazakhstan kemudian mengambil alih posisi pimpinan perolehan poin.


Indonesia kembali mendulang poin dan kembali unggul 16-15, namun setelah official time out kedua malah tertinggal 17-19. Keunggulan Kazakhstan disamakan di poin kritis. Sempat imbang pada skor 24-24, Kazakhstan meraih dua poin beruntun dan menang di set pertama.


Pada awal set kedua, Indonesia sempat menorehkan keunggulan 6-3. Hanya saja deretan kesalahan anak asuh Jiang Jie membuat skor menjadi sama. Indonesia kembali mengumpulkan poin dan membuat keunggulan tiga poin kembali tercipta. Kazakhstan terus membuntuti sembari menjaga jarak. Indonesia tampil apik dan kemudian mencatatkan skor 18-13.


Farhan Halim dan kawan-kawan tak mengendurkan permainan sehingga terus melaju dan kemudian mengamankan set kedua dengan kemenangan 25-19.


Awal gim ketiga kembali ketat sebelum Indonesia bisa melepaskan diri dari kejaran Kazakhstan. Perlahan namun pasti, serangan-serangan Indonesia tidak bisa dibendung lawan. Papan skor menunjukkan angka 14-9 untuk Indonesia.


Jarak menjauh seiring dengan penampilan gemilang Hendra Kurniawan cs. Skor untuk Indonesia bertambah secara konstan lantaran serangan dan pertahanan yang sama bagus. Margin 10 poin tercipta pada kedudukan 22-12.


Tiga poin beruntun lantas diraih Indonesia. Skor 25-12 memastikan tim Merah Putih membalikkan keadaan menjadi 2-1.


Awal set keempat tak ubahnya dengan tiga set sebelumnya. Kejar mengejar poin terjadi. Kazakhstan melakukan banyak blunder, Indonesia kemudian memimpin 8-6. Upaya Kazakhstan memangkas jarak berbuah hasil, namun Indonesia kembali pada performa apik dan kemudian unggul 13-9.


Awal set keempat tak ubahnya dengan tiga set sebelumnya. Kejar mengejar poin terjadi. Kazakhstan melakukan banyak blunder, Indonesia kemudian memimpin 8-6. Upaya Kazakhstan memangkas jarak berbuah hasil, namun Indonesia kembali pada performa apik dan kemudian unggul 13-9.


Kazakhstan terus berupaya mengejar, namun serangan Indonesia begitu tajam dan jarak empat poin terjaga pada skor 16-12.


Timnas voli Indonesia terus mengumpulkan poin, sementara Kazakhstan tak mau menyerah. Laga menjadi sengit menjelang poin kritis seiring Kazakhstan yang mendekat.


Setelah skor 22-20, Indonesia berhasil menjauh dan mengemas kemenangan 25-21 pada set keempat sehingga memastikan skor 3-1 atas Kazakhstan.



Klasemen Grup C Kejuaraan Voli Asia 2023



  1. Indonesia 4 poin

  2. China 2

  3. Kazakhstan 0

















































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Preliminary data shows Luna-25 lunar probe collided with Moon’s surface – Roscosmos

Preliminary data shows Luna-25 lunar probe collided with Moon’s surface – Roscosmos

Preliminary data shows Luna-25 lunar probe collided with Moon’s surface – Roscosmos





©Sergei Savostyanov/TASS, archive






The Luna-25 automatic lunar station, according to unconfirmed data, has been destroyed after colliding with the Moon’s surface, Russia’s State Space Corporation Roscosmos told journalists on Sunday.







The agency recalled that on August 19 that the lunar probe was scheduled to receive propulsion thrust to descend into its landing trajectory on the Moon's elliptical orbit.


"At about 2:57 p.m. Decree time, the connection with the Luna-25 automatic lunar probe was lost," according to Roscosmos.


The Russian space agency noted that all measures regarding the location of the spacecraft and establishing communications with it on August 19 and 20 yielded zero results.


"Preliminary analysis results suggest that a deviation between the actual and calculated parameters of the propulsion maneuver led the Luna-25 spacecraft to enter an undesignated orbit and it ceased to exist following a collision with the surface of the Moon," Roscosmos stated.


The agency added that a special interdepartmental commission is already investigating the cause of the Russian lunar spacecraft’s crash.



Luna-25 lunar mission



A Soyuz-2.1b carrier rocket with the Luna-25 automatic lunar station blasted off from the Vostochny spaceport in the Russian Far East at 2:10 a.m. Moscow time on August 11. On August 12 and 14, the automatic probe adjusted its flight path twice. The lunar lander was set to enter lunar orbit on August 16 and softly touch down on the Moon’s surface on August 21.


The Luna-25 mission aimed to test a soft landing on the surface of the Earth’s natural satellite. The automatic station could have become the first mission to land on the Moon’s south pole. The station was to study the internal structure of the Moon and explore natural resources, including water, and also study the impact of cosmic rays and electromagnetic radiation on the Moon’s surface.


Several video cameras were installed aboard the Luna-25 automatic station. They were intended to record a time-lapse of the landing, a panorama of the Earth’s natural satellite in the HDR format and settling dust for its study. The Luna-25 was to make a programmed video-recording and take photos of the Moon on a command from Earth.



Soyuz rocket with Progress MS-24 cargo spacecraft installed on Baikonur’s launch pad



A Soyuz-2.1a carrier rocket with Porgress MS-24 cargo spacecraft has been installed on a launch pad of the Baikonur spaceport, the State Space Corporation Roscosmos announced on Sunday.


"The Soyuz rocket with Progress is on the launch pad… After putting the rocket in its vertical position at the launch pad 31, Roscosmos specialists will continued with its preparation for the launch," Roscosmos said in a statement.


The launch of the Soyuz-2.1a carrier rocket with the Porgress MS-24 cargo spacecraft is scheduled for 4:08 a.m. Moscow time on August 23. Two days after the launch the spacecraft will approach the International Space Station (ISS) and dock with the Zvezda module of the orbital outpost.


Progress MS-24 is set to deliver about 2,500 kilograms of cargo to the ISS, including 500 kilograms of fuel, 420 liters of potable water, 40 kilograms of compressed nitrogen in cylinders, and about 1,535 kilograms of various equipment and materials.


Currently, Roscosmos cosmonauts Sergey Prokopyev, Dmitry Petelin who is also a TASS special reporter in space and Andrey Fedyayev, NASA astronauts Frank Rubio, Stephen Bowen and Woody Hoburg and UAE (United Arab Emirates) astronaut Sultan Al Neyadi are working aboard the orbital outpost.
















































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Scott Ritter - For NATO and Ukraine, Reality Bites

Scott Ritter - For NATO and Ukraine, Reality Bites

Scott Ritter - For NATO and Ukraine, Reality Bites





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SCOTT RITTER
Columnist
All Materials



There’s an iconic scene in the 1990's cult classic movie, Reality Bites, where Leilaina, played by Winona Ryder, delivers the valedictory address. "What are we going to do now?" she asks, before following up with an even more pertinent question: "How can we repair all the damage we inherited?"







She then answers her questions with a plaintive, "I don't know."


In watching NATO and Ukrainian officials struggle to comprehend the reality of the situation they find themselves in, with the long-awaited and much-anticipated counteroffensive floundering against Russian defenses that have proved to be impenetrable, Leilaina's words came immediately to mind.


Ukraine has dispatched the last of its strategic reserves, led by the elite 82nd Airlanding Brigade, into the battle for the Zaporozhye village of Rabotino. Here, in fields made fallow by conditions of war, Ukraine’s best fighting forces have been eviscerated by Russian defenders who have refused to yield. Based upon the experience of the lead elements of the 82nd Brigade, this fate awaits them as well.


With the Ukrainian strategic reserve committed and soon to be defeated, there are no more forces of significance available to Ukraine and their NATO overseers capable of influencing the conduct of the battles raging all along the 1,000-mile line of contact between the armies of Ukraine and Russia.


Russia, meanwhile, retains an uncommitted reserve of some 200,000-plus fresh, well-trained and equipped forces which are leaning into the bit to be committed to battle. When they are eventually unleashed, Ukraine will lack the resources necessary to fend off their attack, signally the culminating moment in a Russian campaign designed to achieve just this result—the collapse of the Ukrainian ability to sustain large-scale ground combat.


Reality bites.


The situation had become so dire that Stian Jenssen, the chief of staff to NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg, opined in from a Norwegian audience that a solution for the end of the conflict with Russia "could be for Ukraine to give up territory, and get NATO membership in return."


But even here, Jenssen was delusional. While reality dictates that Ukraine will never get back its former territories of Kherson, Zaporozhye, Donetsk, Lugansk, and Crimea, and that the wisest choice would be to concede the inevitability of a Russian victory while avoiding the potential for the loss of even more territories, Jenssen seemed to forget that one of the primary goals behind the Russian decision to initiate the special military operation was to prevent Ukraine from joining NATO.


Only someone totally separated from reality could articulate a scenario that has Russia conceding an issue that is linked to its existential survival (i.e., the expansion of NATO into Ukraine) in exchange for accepting an already accomplished fact—Russian control of the former Ukrainian territories.


Both the Ukrainian government and Jenssen's boss, Stoltenberg, pushed back against the notion of a territory-for-membership swap. "NATO will support Ukraine until it wins the conflict," Stoltenberg told a gathering of reporters in Oslo a day after Jenssen's gaffe, implying that Ukraine’s contention that a key condition for conflict resolution remained evicting Russia from all of the former Ukrainian territories liberated by Russian troops and claimed by Russia as a result of referenda held in 2014 (for Crimea) and 2022 (for the other four territories.)


But it is becoming increasingly clear that reality is trumping desire. There is no chance for Ukraine to achieve its stated objectives, something Jennsen’s comments reflected, and Stoltenberg’s did not. NATO struggles to generate new sources of equipment for the rapidly depleting Ukrainian Army, which has lost much of the tanks, armored fighting vehicles, and artillery systems provided by NATO and other nations in preparation for the failed counteroffensive.


Equipment previously considered to be too provocative, such as the F-16 fighter, have now been greenlighted for release to Ukraine. But none of this matters — even if Ukraine were to receive everything it wanted, the fact is that Ukraine cannot generate the manpower, either in quantity or quality, necessary to competently operate such equipment on a modern battlefield against a Russian Army which, by any honest measure, has emerged from this conflict as the most lethal, capable fighting force in the world.


The US and NATO are both struggling with how to manage a situation where a strategic Russian victory is inevitable. While Jenssen later expressed "regret" for his suggestion of a territory-for-membership swap, the fact is that Ukraine’s hardline position regarding the conditions it will accept regarding conflict termination is not realistic, and the longer Ukraine’s allies and partners continue to play along with such fantasy, the more difficult the path toward an eventual solution will become.


Indeed, Russian FM Sergey Lavrov's recent rejection of negotiations with the West over an end to the conflict shows this to be the case. Lavrov cited as the main reason for the Russian stance the fact that any such negotiation would be little more than a "tactical trick" designed to give the Ukrainian Army a chance to rest and rebuild.


It appears more and more likely that the end of the conflict will take the form of capitulation, not negotiation, where Ukraine plays the role of Imperial Japan in a replay of the surrender ceremony in September 1945 in Tokyo Bay onboard the USS Missouri. The terms under such a scenario would be unconditional, Ukraine's defeat total and NATO's route unmitigated. Ukrainian and NATO officials would do well to reflect on this reality before deciding to continue the conflict to "the last Ukrainian."


The Russian conditions that were set forth in the peace deal Ukraine initialed before backing out under pressure from former UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson appear to be on the table, except for Russia's newly acquired territories. The alternative, as Belarussian President Alexander Lukashenko recently explained to a Ukrainian journalist, could be the dismemberment of Ukraine where what remained of the nation was a pathetic shadow of its former self, stripped of economic viability.


Reality does, indeed, bite.
















































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