Friday, 19 April 2024

AS blokir Palestina untuk menjadi anggota PBB

AS blokir Palestina untuk menjadi anggota PBB

AS blokir Palestina untuk menjadi anggota PBB





Wakil Duta Besar AS untuk PBB Robert Wood memberikan suara menentang resolusi yang mengizinkan Palestina menjadi anggota PBB di markas besar PBB di New York, pada 18 April 2024.
©Angela Weiss/AFP






Amerika telah memveto resolusi Dewan Keamanan PBB yang akan membuka jalan bagi Palestina untuk menjadi anggota badan dunia tersebut.







Palestina saat ini menjadi “negara pengamat tetap” (“permanent observer state”) di PBB yang berpartisipasi dalam banyak pertemuan tetapi tidak memiliki hak suara.


Rancangan resolusi yang diperdebatkan pada hari Kamis berisi rekomendasi kepada Majelis Umum PBB untuk mengadakan pemungutan suara mengenai pembaruan status Palestina dalam organisasi tersebut. Dokumen tersebut ditolak dengan 12 suara mendukung, satu menolak, dan dua abstain.


Perwakilan Alternatif AS untuk Urusan Politik Khusus Robert Wood mengatakan bahwa “ada pertanyaan yang belum terselesaikan mengenai apakah [Palestina] memenuhi kriteria untuk dianggap sebagai sebuah negara.” Ia berargumen bahwa Palestina tidak bisa diterima di PBB selama kelompok militan Hamas menguasai Gaza.


Washington terus mendukung solusi dua negara untuk Israel dan Palestina, Wood menekankan.


“Pemungutan suara ini tidak mencerminkan penolakan terhadap negara Palestina, namun merupakan pengakuan bahwa hal itu hanya akan terjadi melalui negosiasi langsung antar pihak,” katanya dalam sebuah pernyataan.


Rancangan tersebut dikritik habis-habisan oleh Duta Besar Israel Gilad Erdan, yang berpendapat bahwa resolusi tersebut “tidak berhubungan dengan kenyataan di lapangan” dan “tidak akan memberikan dampak positif bagi pihak mana pun.” Dia mengecam Otoritas Palestina (PA), yang memerintah Tepi Barat tetapi bukan Gaza, sebagai “entitas pendukung teror yang tidak pantas mendapatkan status apa pun di PBB.”


Speaking at the Security Council, Russian Ambassador Vassily Nebenzia said that the vote had shown that “for Washington, [the Palestinians] do not deserve to have their own state.”


“Today’s use of the veto by the US delegation is a hopeless attempt to stop the inevitable course of history. The results of the vote, where Washington was practically in complete isolation, speak for themselves,” Nebenzia said.


Palestinian Ambassador Majed Bamya said after the vote that the PA was “not deterred in our pursuit for Palestinian freedom and independence.”


Sesi Dewan Keamanan berlangsung ketika perang antara Israel dan Hamas di Gaza memasuki bulan ketujuh, dan pemerintah setempat melaporkan bahwa hampir 34.000 warga Palestina telah terbunuh sejak tanggal 7 Oktober. Pertempuran terjadi setelah serangan mendadak oleh Hamas ke wilayah Israel, yang menyebabkan sekitar 1.100 orang tewas dan menyebabkan penangkapan lebih dari 200 sandera.






















Thursday, 18 April 2024

Hezbollah’s attack on Israeli military command center injures 14

Hezbollah’s attack on Israeli military command center injures 14

Hezbollah’s attack on Israeli military command center injures 14





A Lebanese man collects books from a house that was destroyed by an Israeli airstrike, in Mansouri village, south Lebanon, Wednesday, Apr. 17, 2024. (AP Photo)






The Iran-backed Hezbollah launched on Wednesday “a combined attack with guided missiles and explosive drones on a military reconnaissance command center in Arab Al-Aramshe,” as it targeted the Israeli army south of the border with Lebanon.







The group claimed responsibility for the operation, saying that “it is in response to the killing of several resistance fighters in Ain Baal and Shehabiya in southern Lebanon.”


Israeli media outlets announced that “a kamikaze drone struck an Israeli army gathering in Arab Al-Aramshe, western Galilee, resulting in six casualties, at least.”


They added: “An Israeli army helicopter was hit while rescuing the injured in Arab Al-Aramshe.”


The Galilee Medical Center in Nahariya said that it had received 14 injured people.


Hezbollah has adopted new tactics of late. According to a security source, these “were seen last week, when it (Hezbollah) detonated explosive devices targeting Israeli soldiers on the border, injuring four Golani Brigade members.”


The source added that Hezbollah “has taken the confrontations to another level by directly targeting Israeli soldiers.”


Israeli forces launched immediate retaliation by bombing and targeting phosphorus bombs on the border area.


This region included the outskirts of Rachaya Al-Fekhar, Fardis, Al-Habbariyeh, Alma Al-Shaab, Dhahira, Marwahin, and Yarin, as well as the city of Nabatieh, where a house belonging to the Sayyed family was destroyed.


No casualties were reported in the incidents, but the border region has witnessed the Israeli military’s dramatic targeting and killing of two key figures.


Hezbollah is mourning the death of Ismail Youssef Baz, a senior commander of the organization, while the Amal Movement — an ally of Hezbollah — has been coming to terms with the death of Hussein Qasim Karsht.


Israeli media reported that Baz, who was killed in his car following a drone attack, was “the commander of Hezbollah’s coastal sector.”


It added: “He was working on promoting and planning the launching of rockets and anti-tank missiles toward Israel from the Lebanese coastline. During this ongoing war, he organized and planned to carry out various plans against Israel.”




Multiple injuries after Hezbollah strikes Israel – media



Hezbollah militants have shelled Israeli territory from Lebanon, injuring 18 people, local media reported on Wednesday. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) confirmed the attack, saying that it had retaliated, striking targets in the neighboring country. The Shiite armed group has repeatedly bombarded its southern neighbor since the military conflict between Israel and Hamas broke out last October. Hezbollah launched a volley of missiles at Israel late on Saturday while Iran was conducting its massive aerial attack on the country.


Agence France-Presse estimates that at least 363 people in Lebanon have been killed as a result of the hostilities in recent months, including at least 70 civilians.


On Wednesday, The Times of Israel quoted a statement from the Galilee Medical Center that it had admitted 18 people following a drone strike on Arab al-Aramshe, a predominantly Bedouin village. One of the victims is said to have been in critical condition, while another two were seriously wounded.


Local broadcaster KAN claimed that the Lebanese militants had fired missiles, and not used UAVs. In a post on X (formerly Twitter) on Wednesday, the IDF confirmed that a “number of launches were identified crossing from Lebanon into northern Israel.”


According to the statement, the Israeli military responded by striking the “sources of the fire and a Hezbollah military compound in southern Lebanon where terrorists were operating.”


Hezbollah, for its part, said that it had targeted an Israeli military air surveillance unit and a gathering of Israeli soldiers as well as a command headquarters. On top of that, the Shiite militant group claims to have damaged an Israeli military vehicle, presumably injuring some of the people inside.


On Sunday, the IDF reported conducting airstrikes on multiple allegedly Hezbollah-related targets in Lebanon. According to a post on its Telegram channel, Israeli warplanes hit a number of other military installations in the south of the country, as well as a “significant” Hezbollah weapons manufacturing site close to the Syrian border.





















Wednesday, 17 April 2024

Airlangga Tegaskan Golkar Berpihak terhadap Anak Muda

Airlangga Tegaskan Golkar Berpihak terhadap Anak Muda

Airlangga Tegaskan Golkar Berpihak terhadap Anak Muda





Ketua Umum Partai Golkar Airlangga Hartarto menghadiri acara halalbihalal DPP AMPI, di Hotel Double Tree Hilton, Menteng, Jakarta Pusat/Ist






Golkar, Airlangga Hartarto mengaku telah mempercayakan banyak hal kepada Ketua Umum Angkatan Muda Pembaharuan Indonesia (AMPI), Jerry Sambuaga.







Hal ini dikatakan Airlangga saat menghadiri acara halalbihalal DPP AMPI, di Hotel Double Tree Hilton, Menteng, Jakarta Pusat, Selasa, 16/04/2024.


“Golkar mempercayakan kepada Saudara Jerry banyak hal. Pertama saat Mas Jerry lagi jalan-jalan di Plaza Indonesia. Saya tanya, Jer lagi di mana? Dia langsung menghadap. Dan dia mendapat kepercayaan jadi Wamen mewakili Sulawesi Utara. Yang kedua, Jer lagi ngapain? Saya minta dia jadi Ketua Umum AMPI,” kata Airlangga Hartarto yang disambut tawa hadirin.


Tak hanya itu, Jerry juga mendapatkan kepercayaan DPP Partai Golkar untuk menjadi koordinator Golkar Under 40. Gerakan Golkar Under 40 menjadi salah satu ujung tombak terciptanya branding bahwa Partai Golkar sangat ramah terhadap ekosistem politik generasi muda.


“Ada lagi tambahan. Saya bilang, Jer ini kita mau mendorong orang muda, under 40. Saya minta dia jadi koordinator under 40 dalam Pemilu 2024. Dan alhamdulillah, Pak Jerry dipercaya jadi LO Partai Golkar untuk mendampingi Mas Gibran selama masa kampanye,” tambah Menko Perekonomian RI ini.


Airlangga menekankan jika kepercayaan yang diberikan kepada Jerry serta AMPI tak lain sebagai wujud keberpihakan Partai Golkar terhadap generasi muda.


Bahkan Partai Golkar berani memberikan jabatan strategis Menpora RI, kepada kader muda yang juga merupakan mantan Ketua Umum AMPI, Dito Ariotedjo.


“Jadi kepercayaan Partai Golkar terhadap Mas Jerry ini luar biasa. Ditambah lagi Ketua Umum AMPI sebelum Mas Jerry, dijadikan Menpora. Dan Menpora yang termuda sepanjang sejarah republik adalah Ketua Umum AMPI, saudara Dito Ariotedjo. Ini menginspirasi semua anak muda di Indonesia,” tutup Airlangga.

























Iran’s strike on Israel was much more successful than it seems. Here’s why

Iran’s strike on Israel was much more successful than it seems. Here’s why

Iran’s strike on Israel was much more successful than it seems. Here’s why





Screen grab from AFPTV showing explosions lighting up the sky over Hebron, West Bank, during an Iranian attack on Israel, April 14, 2024.
©AFPTV/AFP






By Abbas Juma, an international journalist, political commentator, Middle East and Africa specialist



On the night of April 14, Iran and its proxy forces launched a series of cruise missile and kamikaze drone strikes on Israeli territory. The attacks did not come as a surprise. Tehran had warned that it would respond to the Israeli airstrike on Iran’s consulate in Damascus, Syria, on April 1, which killed several high-ranking officers of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), including two generals. The retaliatory strike was called Operation True Promise. 







There is still much debate on whether Iran’s retaliatory strike was successful. Most military experts agree that there was nothing unusual about Tehran’s actions, except that this was Iran’s first direct attack on Israel. From a technical point of view, the strategy was simple and correct: Iran first suppressed the enemy’s air defense systems with drones and then launched hypersonic missiles which the Israelis and Americans were not able to intercept. Incidentally, in light of this, Ukraine’s statements about shooting down Russian Kinzhal hypersonic missiles sound ridiculous.



Do not jump to conclusions



Many experts were skeptical about Iran’s strike and hastened to say that the retaliation did not live up to expectations. Given the clip thinking of most commentators, this reaction is hardly surprising. Their reasoning resembles a Hollywood blockbuster stuffed with special effects, where the end of the world and its miraculous salvation fit into 90-120 minutes, with a love scene in the middle. In real life, things are different. As Sun Tzu wrote in ancient times, to fight 100 battles and win 100 battles is not the height of skill. The best way to win is not to fight at all. This is Iran’s strategy. Its strike against Israel was not so much a military response as a grandmaster’s move in a big chess game. And the game is not over yet. 3


After the attack on the Iranian consulate in Syria’s capital, Tehran found itself in a tough situation. It had to respond in a way that would look convincing and would achieve specific military goals, but would not start World War III.


To achieve the first point, Iran had to carry out a direct strike without resorting exclusively to proxy forces – and that is indeed how it acted. Regarding the second point, even though most of the missiles and drones were indeed shot down, some managed to penetrate Israeli air space and hit military targets. The Chief of Staff of the Iranian Armed Forces, Mohammad Bagheri, said that the information center on the Israeli-Syrian border and Israel’s Nevatim air base were hit. And finally, as to the third point – war didn’t happen. This resembled the situation in 2020, when the Iranians hit US bases in Iraq in response to the assassination of General Soleimani.


However, it is still too early to speculate as to whether Iran’s attack was a success or not. The big question now is how Israel will respond. 



What Iran has accomplished



It’s important to emphasize that Iran’s operation carried more political than military weight. In this sense, it was carried out subtly and was a success. Obviously, the Iranians did not want to start a war which would involve the US, even though that is what Netanyahu wanted. In other words, Israel didn’t manage to provoke Iran. 


It is also obvious that the Islamic Republic possesses more powerful drones and missiles than those used in the attack on April 14. However, even the less advanced drones and missiles were able to penetrate Israeli air space and inflict economic damage, since Israel spent much more money on shooting down the missiles and drones than Iran spent on launching them. 


Tehran has once again demonstrated that Israel is not invulnerable, and it is possible to attack it. As for the degree of inflicted damage, which some commentators were unsatisfied with, it largely depends on the type of missiles and drones used in the attack – and Iran has a lot of military equipment.


Finally, Iran’s main achievement is that it has managed to confuse Israel in the same way that it was confused after the October 7 Hamas attack. The country has to respond. But how? Should Israel strike Iranian proxy forces? This is possible, but Israel does it all the time without much result. Should it hit Iran directly? But that would start a war which no one is prepared for, including the US.



Conclusion



The ball is now in Israel’s court, and the country faces the same challenges that the Islamic Republic did after April 1. But will Israel be able to solve these challenges as efficiently? 


It is noteworthy that IRGC Commander-in-Chief, Hossein Salami, said that from now on, if Israel attacks the interests of Iran and Iranian citizens, Tehran will strike it again.


This is an important statement. Essentially, the attack carried out by Iran on April 14 was not just a retaliatory strike, but established a new order. Iran demonstrated that it is ready to resort to new means of influence in a situation where words are not sufficient.


It attacked Israel directly not in order to start a war, but to demonstrate what could happen if all other methods of pressure on Israel fail.


A new option has been put forward. Israel may be deprived of its most important advantage – absolute impunity, which until recently had been guaranteed by the US.





















Pain at the Pump? Why Military Action or Sanctions Against Iran May Backfire on US & Allies

Pain at the Pump? Why Military Action or Sanctions Against Iran May Backfire on US & Allies

Pain at the Pump? Why Military Action or Sanctions Against Iran May Backfire on US & Allies





©AP Photo/Horst Faas






Market watchers warn that oil prices could surge if the latest tit-for-tat between Israel and Iran morphs into a wider regional conflict. If the Biden administration slaps new sanctions on Iran's oil exports, it could send prices higher too, observers say.







On the eve of Iran's retaliatory strike on Israel, oil prices spiked, but slightly backtracked in the aftermath of Tehran's attack. On Monday, Brent retreated 0.9%, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) was down 0.8%.


"The impact of Iran’s attack on oil prices was hardly noticeable for the simple reason that the flow of oil from the Gulf region hasn’t been disrupted," Dr. Mamdouh G. Salameh, an international oil economist and a global energy expert, explained to Sputnik. "This could, however, change if Israel retaliates, thus prompting Iran to respond with a harsher retaliation that could lead to a disruption of oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz," he noted.


Brent Crude is currently trading around $90 a barrel, yet Salameh predicts that we should be prepared for a potential rally in the near future. He estimates that Brent will fluctuate between $90 and $100 per barrel throughout the year. However, the expert forewarned that in the event of increased tensions between Israel and Iran, the price could surpass $100 and even reach $120 per barrel.


"Iran had no alternative but to retaliate against Israel’s attack on its Consulate in Damascus, Syria in which two high ranking commanders of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) were killed otherwise it would have lost face in the world and would have been depicted as a paper tiger," said Salameh.


"Moreover, Iran warned Israel not to retaliate and that it will get a harsher response if it did. I am convinced that Israel is going to respond in one way or another, but not immediately. So we are now in some sort of calm before the storm. Israel is coming under heavy pressure from the United States and its allies not to respond," the expert continued.


The Biden administration does not want any ratcheting up of tensions between the two arch enemies that could potentially lead to a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. This waterway is recognized as one of the world's most crucial oil passages, with tankers transporting roughly 17 million barrels of crude oil through it daily, accounting for about one-fifth of the world's total consumption. If the strait were to be blocked, it is likely that global petroleum prices would surge, resulting in increased pain for American consumers at the pump right before the 2024 presidential election.


"However, the Biden administration has signaled that it will impose additional sanctions against Iranian crude oil exports, particularly to China," Salameh noted. "To this effect, the US may also decide to impose restrictions on Chinese financial organizations and banks alleged to be involved in Chinese purchases of Iranian crude," the oil analyst explained.


Axios reported on Tuesday that Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is preparing "fresh sanctions" for Iran. The media outlet noted that Yellen is likely to force Western finance ministers at the annual spring IMF meetings this week to coordinate on possible joint actions against Tehran.


American congressmen aren't sitting on their hands, either. According to Bloomberg, House lawmakers are pushing ahead with the Iran-China Energy Sanctions Act of 2023, which envisages tightening the screws on Iranian oil exports and China's purchase of crude or petroleum products from the Islamic Republic. US lawmakers are expressing outrage about the fact that Iran's oil exports have reached a four-year high of 1.5 million barrels per day this year. Around 80% of Iranian crude is sent to China’s independent refiners.


"The truth of the matter is that any additional sanctions on Iran won't fare better than the existing ones," Salameh said.


Restricting Iran's oil exports may boomerang on the Biden administration. With no immediate replacement for the Iranian oil that could be lost, especially since OPEC+ members have decided to keep cutting back on production and exports for the time being, there could be a significant impact on the market. Furthermore, China's bullish economy and high energy demand only serve to exacerbate this situation, as any decrease in oil supply will likely lead to a sudden surge in prices.


Experts warn that since China is one of the largest consumers of Iranian crude, they would have no choice but to fiercely compete for oil from other sources if Iran's exports were to be hampered. This could potentially lead to further instability in the global oil market.


"The China factor got a huge boost yesterday when it was announced that China’s economy grew by 5.3% in the first quarter of 2024 beating its own projection of 5.0%," Salameh said. "This very bullish factor will add to growing bullish sentiments about global oil demand which is, anyway, underpinned by solid fundamentals, robust demand and a tightening market."


Despite all the muscle-flexing, the Biden administration is unlikely to take significant action against Iran, believes Michael Rothman, president and founder of Cornerstone Analytics, a US-based consultancy focused on macro-energy research.


"This looked to me as having a near-zero probability given the Biden Administration has actually loosened US compliance measures with existing sanctions on Iran that, in fact, allowed the country’s oil exports to rise over the past year," Rothman said.


Another potential issue that could arise from a rise in oil prices is the risk of inflation increasing. This, in turn, could hinder economic growth in the West and result in delays in rate cuts by Western central banks. In such a situation, any military or economic actions taken against Iran by Israel or NATO countries would be teeming with substantial risks.





















Tuesday, 16 April 2024

Potential Dangers of Major Nuclear Accident at Zaporozhye Nuclear Power Plant Remain Real - IAEA

Potential Dangers of Major Nuclear Accident at Zaporozhye Nuclear Power Plant Remain Real - IAEA

Potential Dangers of Major Nuclear Accident at Zaporozhye Nuclear Power Plant Remain Real - IAEA





©AFP 2023/OLGA MALTSEVA






Even though the six reactors at the Zaporozhye Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP) are in a cold shutdown, the threat of a major disaster at the facility remains real, Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Rafael Grossi said on Monday.







“Even though the plant’s six reactors are now in cold shutdown, with the final unit shifting into that status two days ago following the IAEA’s recommendation, the potential dangers of a major nuclear accident are very real,” Grossi told the UN Security Council.


The situation is "dangerously close to a nuclear accident," Grossi warned. Attacks around the Zaporozhye Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP) have to stop immediately as nuclear safety is already compromised, the IAEA director stressed.


“These reckless attacks must cease immediately. Though, fortunately, they have not led to a radiological incident this time, they significantly increase the risk at Zaporozhye Nuclear Power Plant, where nuclear safety is already compromised,” Grossi said.


The recent attacks on the nuclear power plant earlier this month repeatedly violated one of the five principles he outlined last year to avert a nuclear disaster amid the Ukraine conflict.


"Nevertheless, Madame President, over the past ten days, the first of these principles has been violated repeatedly in what marks a step-change increase in risk to nuclear safety and security at Zaporozhye Nuclear Power Plant," Grossi emphasized.


"We must do everything in our power today to minimize the risk of an accident," he stated.


On April 7, Ukraine's kamikaze drones attacked the territory of the Zaporozhye Nuclear Power Plant right after an inspection carried out by IAEA experts, the plant's press service said. The IAEA confirmed minor damage to the sixth power unit of the nuclear power plant, adding that nuclear safety had not been compromised. The attack also left three workers injured, with one of them sustaining serious injuries, Russian state nuclear corporation Rosatom said.



No Russian heavy weapons at Zaporozhye nuclear plant – IAEA boss



Russia does not station heavy weapons at the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant, International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Director General Rafael Mariano Grossi told reporters on Monday.


Moscow and Kiev have been accusing each other of shelling Europe’s largest nuclear plant, which sits close to the front line. Kiev and its Western backers have also accused Moscow of using the facility as a cover for its troops.


Grossi made his comments after a UN Security Council meeting dedicated to the renewed strikes on the plant. “There is no heavy weaponry there,” Grossi said while answering a reporter’s question during a media stakeout.


Russia does not station heavy weapons at the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant, International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Director General Rafael Mariano Grossi told reporters on Monday.


He explained that, although there are Russian “armored vehicles and some security presence at the plant,” IAEA monitors did not see any prohibited weapons, such as multiple rocket launchers, tanks and artillery.


Grossi said that the IAEA does not have the mandate to determine which side has been attacking the facility and argued that “indisputable evidence” is needed to establish who is responsible.


Addressing the Security Council, Grossi confirmed that Europe’s largest nuclear power plant was struck on April 7, which was the first direct attack on the site since November 2022. Insectors have determined that the apex of the containment dome of the Unit 6 reactor building had been hit, he added. “Whilst the damage to the structure is superficial, the attack sets a very dangerous precedent of the successful targeting of the reactor containment,” Grossi stressed, warning that “these reckless attacks must cease immediately.”


Russian Ambassador Vassily Nebenzia told the Security Council that Ukrainian forces have been “systematically” targeting the plant and surrounding areas. He stated that the Russian army has been “spotting and intercepting up to 100 drones per week.” Moscow has never placed heavy weapons at the facility or used the plant to stage attacks on Ukraine, he said.


Officials in Kiev have denied striking the plant. “The position of Ukraine is clear and unequivocal: we are not conducting any military activities or provocations against nuclear sites,” Andrey Yusov, spokesman for Ukraine’s military intelligence, told Ukrainian TV this month. Andrey Kovalenko, the head of the state-run Center for Countering Disinformation, accused Moscow of spreading false information and “manipulating the IAEA.”


The agency said in its report this week that all of the plant’s six reactors are currently in cold shutdown. According to the plant’s management, only one reactor had been working since 2022 in order to keep the site operational. IAEA inspectors were deployed to monitor the facility in September 2022.