Friday 30 December 2022

Reagan's Aide Warns Against Overestimating Soviet Union, Underestimating Russia

Reagan's Aide Warns Against Overestimating Soviet Union, Underestimating Russia

‘Major Political Error’: Moscow Warned About NATO Expansion in 2001, Declassified Docs Reveal




©Sputnik / Alexei Danichev






The world should not overestimate the significance of the Soviet Union, but should also avoid underrating the importance of Russia, American scholar of Russian history Suzanne Massie, who served as an adviser to President Ronald Reagan, told Sputnik in an interview on the USSR's centennial.







"Now the USSR is already a memory. I was at Gorbachev's funeral in Moscow, and with him the era of the USSR was gone, which, relative to the entire more than a thousand-year history of Russia, lasted only 70 years," Massie said in Russian. "I do not think it is necessary to overestimate the importance of the USSR, but the importance of Russia for the world today cannot and should not be underestimated."


Speaking of lessons Russia could draw from the Soviet period, Massie expressed her belief that Russia needs to combat its age-old bureaucracy.


"America does not know the new Russia at all, its new young faces, its spirit," she added. "I believe that Russia needs to be studied and studied from within, as I once did myself. And I just fell in love with it."


On December 30, 1922, five years after the October Revolution, the First All-Union Congress of Soviets in Moscow declared the creation of the Soviet Union, an entity intended to be built on Marxist principles and dedicated to ushering in a new era of Communism onto the world.







On December 26, 1991, the Soviet Union ceased to exist, soon after the leaders of Russia, Ukraine and Belarus signed the Belovezh Accords, declaring the country dissolved.


'Major Political Error’: Moscow Warned About NATO Expansion in 2001, Declassified Docs Reveal



In the mid-1990s, the Clinton administration broke with its predecessor’s pledge to Moscow not to expand the Western military alliance “one inch east” of a reunified Germany. Three decades on, relations between Russia and the West are perhaps worse than they ever were even in the darkest days of the Cold War.


In 2001, riding off the post-Cold War high of lofty promises to Russia about integration into the ‘civilized world’ and seeking to maintain good relations with its newfound Western partners, Moscow carefully sought to warn NATO about the implications of the alliance’s continued eastward expansion. That’s according to British government documents released by the National Archives on Friday.


The files, which include Cabinet Office papers of the Tony Blair government from the period between 2000 and 2002, featured a remark by then-Russian Defense Minister Igor Sergeyev that continued NATO enlargement to the east would be a “major political error,” and that Moscow would be forced to “take appropriate steps.”







By that point, NATO had already swallowed up former Warsaw Pact members Poland, Hungary and the Czech Republic, and was negotiating expanding into Slovakia, Bulgaria, Romania, Slovenia and the Baltic states, which would put the bloc’s strategic reach to within just 100 km of St. Petersburg, Russia’s second city.


A 2001 security paper drawn up for Blair defense advisor John Sawers chided Russian officials for their “obstructionist stance.” UK officials appeared to dismiss then fresh-faced Russian President Vladimir Putin’s assurances to Blair that he did not want to be seen as “anti-NATO,” and that he “would not try to slow down the process of NATO enlargement,” as disingenuous.


The security paper suggested that Putin’s “constructive” statements were “belied” by Russian espionage efforts against the UK, as well as Moscow’s links to Iran and Iraq.


“Despite the warmth of Putin’s rhetoric about the close links between Russia and the UK, the Russian intelligence effort against British targets remains at a high level. The Russian intelligence presence in the UK is at Cold War levels, and they continue to post active and hostile officers to work against British interests worldwide,” the document said.








Defense Minister Sergeyev did not shy away from expressing concerns about NATO expansion, both in private and in public. In the late 1990s and early 2000s, the marshal repeatedly criticized the Western bloc over the “lack of trust” with Russia in the framework of the alliance’s ‘peacekeeping’ operations in Kosovo after its 78-day bombardment of Yugoslavia. At a meeting of the NATO-Russia Council in 2000, Sergeyev warned of the dangers of Washington’s plans to withdraw from the 1972 Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty, which he characterized as a cornerstone of global strategic stability. Sergeyev called on Europeans to scrap NATO and create a “pan-European system of collective security” without the United States. The marshal also criticized the use of NATO forces in Kosovo without United Nations and Organization for Security Co-operation approval, saying this undermined the global post-Cold War security architecture.


The National Archives document dump also revealed UK efforts to keep up diplomatic decorum, befriend Putin and pull the wool over his eyes on the West’s friendship with Russia. In a memo dated February 2001, Blair proposed to US Vice President Dick Cheney that Putin be granted a “position (at) the top table” and encouraged “to reach for Western attitudes as well as the Western economic model.” Blair recommended “treating [Putin] with some respect while preventing him from pulling European members of the (NATO) alliance away from the US.”


Blair compared Putin’s “mindset” to that of the late French President Charles de Gaulle, describing him “as a Russian patriot, acutely aware that Russia had lost its place in the world.”


The docs revealed that Blair had symbolically gifted Putin a pair of special No 10 cufflinks in October 2001 for the Russian president’s birthday, with Putin ‘honored’ as the first non-British leader recipient of the trinket. The same year, Putin was said to have informed Blair that Russia was ready to help ensure Britain’s energy security “for decades to come” through the construction of a new gas pipeline via Belarus.







Western distrust over Russia’s intentions and the NATO push to incorporate more and more Eastern European members in the bloc underscored its underlying hostility to Moscow, notwithstanding the supposed end of the Cold War. Putin sought to test the authenticity of Western intentions in the year 2000, recalling to that he once proposed to outgoing President Bill Clinton that Russia itself join NATO.


“I remember one of our last meetings with President Clinton in Moscow. During the meeting I said, ‘we should consider an option that Russia might join NATO’. Clinton replied, ‘Why not?’ But the US delegation got very nervous,” Putin recalled, speaking to US filmmaker Oliver Stone in 2017.


Putin’s strategy echoed the approach taken by Soviet Foreign Minister Vyacheslav Molotov, who asked to join NATO in 1954 in a test of the West’s strategic intentions vis-à-vis Moscow. The alliance turned the Soviet offer down, prompting Moscow to form the Warsaw Pact alliance a year later. That alliance helped to guarantee European security for the next three-and-a-half decades.


NATO expansion is one of the central causes of the current crisis in relations between Russia and the West, including the ongoing conflict in Ukraine -amid the bloc's attempts to drag Kiev into the alliance. Russia has expressed concerns that the alliance’s conventional military forces, plus the missile defense systems placed in Poland and Romania, are designed to target Russia, threatening the country and undermining global strategic stability.







In December 2021, Russia proposed a twin set of draft security treaties to the United States and NATO. The proposals were designed to reduce tensions between Moscow and the Western bloc, and included a pitch not to deploy troops, military equipment, warships, missile systems and aircraft in areas where they might be seen as a threat to the other party, and a formal commitment by both sides that they do not see one another as adversaries. Moscow also asked Washington not to continue NATO’s eastward expansion, including into Ukraine and Georgia.


The Western bloc rejected Russia’s proposals in January, citing its unwavering “open door” policy. Several weeks later, the Donetsk and Lugansk People’s Republics reported an unprecedented increase in Ukrainian shelling and sabotage attacks of their territories, and, fearing that Kiev may be preparing a full-scale invasion, began an evacuation of civilians to Russia. Moscow responded by kicking off its special military operation to ‘demilitarize’ and ‘de-Nazify’ its neighbor.


George Kennan, venerated US diplomat, geostrategist and author of the famous 1946 ‘long telegram’ of advice on how to ‘contain’ the USSR in the first years of the Cold War, famously characterized NATO’s decision in the 1990s to expand as “the most fateful error of American policy in the entire post-Cold War era.” The decision, he said, would severely undermine the fledgling trust between Moscow and Washington, and “impel Russian foreign policy in directions not to our liking.” Twenty-five years on, Kennan’s warning has proven prophetic.


















Putin Says Russia-China Trade Will Grow by 25% by End of 2022 Despite Intimidation by West

Putin Says Russia-China Trade Will Grow by 25% by End of 2022 Despite Intimidation by West

Putin Says Russia-China Trade Will Grow by 25% by End of 2022 Despite Intimidation by West




kremlin.ru






Despite the intimidation by some Western countries, trade between Russia and China will grow by about 25% by the end of 2022, and the $200 billion level will be reached ahead of schedule, Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Friday.







Russian-Chinese trade turnover will reach $200 billion “ahead of schedule,” President Vladimir Putin said during a videoconference with Chinese leader Xi Jinping on Friday as Moscow’s isolation from the West over its invasion of Ukraine continues to grow.


“Despite the unfavorable external conditions, illegitimate restrictions and direct intimidation by some countries of the West, Russia and China managed to secure record growth rates of mutual trade. By the end of the year, it will increase by 25%. Under such a dynamic, we will be able to reach the $200 billion target mark set by us for 2024 ahead of schedule,” Putin said during talks with Chinese President Xi Jinping via video link.


“Despite the unfavorable external environment, illegitimate restrictions, and direct blackmail by some Western countries, Russia and China have managed to ensure record-high growth rates of mutual trade turnover,” Putin said.


China is ready to build up strategic cooperation with Russia and be global partners for the benefit of the peoples of the two countries and in the interests of world stability against the backdrop of a difficult international situation, Chinese President Xi Jinping said.


"In the face of a difficult, far from unambiguous international situation, we are ready to build up strategic cooperation, provide each other with opportunities for development, be global partners for the benefit of the peoples of our countries and in the interests of stability throughout the world," Xi told Russian President Vladimir Putin during a video call, as broadcast by the Russian TV channel.







The leaders of Russia and China earlier set the goal to double bilateral trade, bringing it from $100 billion a year to $200 billion by 2024. The $100 billion mark was reached in 2018.


During Friday’s discussion, Putin told Xi that Moscow wanted to ramp up military cooperation with Beijing and invited him to make a state visit to Russia in the spring of 2023.


Putin is seeking to strengthen ties with Beijing and boost economic cooperation in the face of international condemnation and Western sanctions over his invasion of Ukraine.


Despite developing a tempestuous relationship during the Cold War, China and Russia have drawn progressively closer since the collapse of the Soviet Union and in recent years have acted jointly as a counterweight to the global dominance of the United States in what they term a "no-limits" relationship.


The two countries have also stepped up military cooperation, with China last month sending hundreds of troops to take part in military exercises in Russia's Far East.









Putin Invites Xi to Come to Moscow Next Year



Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Friday he had invited Chinese President Xi Jinping to come to Moscow next year.


"I have no doubt that we will find an opportunity to meet with you in person. We are waiting for you, dear Mr. Chairman, dear friend, we are waiting for you to come next spring with a state visit to Moscow," Putin told Xi during a video call.


This visit will demonstrate to the world the strength of Russian-Chinese ties on key issues and become the main political event of the year in bilateral relations, Putin added.


On December 30, Russian President Vladimir Putin discussed bilateral relations, regional problems, including those near Russian and Chinese borders with Chinese President Xi Jinping via video call.

'Never Been a Number 10 Like Him': World Mourns Death of Brazilian Football Star Pele

'Never Been a Number 10 Like Him': World Mourns Death of Brazilian Football Star Pele










Football great Pelé died Thursday at the age of 82 following a long battle with colon cancer. The three-time World Cup champion was hailed for his skill and grace on the pitch, truly embodying the phrase fans know as "o jogo bonito," otherwise known as "the beautiful game".







In the few hours since the death of Pelé was confirmed, thousands of tributes have poured in from football players, fans and politicians from all around the world.


Among the first of notable footballers to send their prayers and tributes to the hailed Santos player were French star Kylian Mbappé, Argentina's Leo Messi, current free agent Cristiano Ronaldo and fellow Brazilian star Neymar.


"A simple goodbye to the eternal King Pele will never be enough to express the pain that hits the entire world of football at this moment. An inspiration for so many millions, a reference of yesterday, today, always," Ronaldo wrote in an Instagram post. "The affection he has always shown for me was reciprocal in every moment we shared, even at distance."


"He will never be forgotten and his memory will last for ever in each and everyone of us football lovers. Rest in peace, King Pele," he added.


In football, there are few numbers that carry the significance that the no.10 jersey does, and with Pelé, the weight that figure carried skyrocketed.







Among the politicos, Pelé gained tributes from former Bolivian President Evo Morales, former US President Barack Obama, US President Joe Biden, Secretary of State Antony Blinken, Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, FIFA President Gianni Infantino, and former Brazilian President Fernando Henrique Cardoso, who Pelé served under as sports minister.




"Pele is an incontestable symbol of our nation, a source of pride for all of us. Beyond his achievements as a legend of world sport, Pele was an exemplary public officer, loyal to his principles, values and to our country," Cardoso said. "We all lose in his departure.''



The man who stopped a war



Between one and two million people died during Nigerian Civil War from 1967 to 1970. Astonishingly, a 48-hour ceasefire was called between the Nigerian government and the secessionist state of Biafra in 1969 so they could watch Pele and Santos draw 2-2 with the Nigerian Super Eagles, with ‘The King’ receiving incessant applause and a standing ovation from the home fans.


Pele had served since 1994 as “champion for sport” for the United Nations cultural organisation, UNESCO, helping promote physical education across the world.


On Thursday, UNESCO said Pele “worked relentlessly to promote sport as a tool for peace”, adding that he will be greatly missed.







“We are deeply saddened by the passing of Pelé. We extend our condolences to the Brazilian people and the football family,” the organisation said in a tweet.






The current Brazilian government has hailed the player as "one of the greatest athletes of all time," going on to declare a three-day national mourning period.


Offering his condolences, Brazilian President-elect Lula da Silva Pele commented in a Twitter thread that Pelé "went to make a table in heaven with Coutinho, his great partner at Santos. He now has the company of so many eternal stars: Didi, Garrincha, Nilton Santos, Sócrates, Maradona."








"He left a certainty: there had never been a number 10 like him. Thank you, Pele."


Brazilian media has reported that a wake will be held on Monday in the city of Santos, where Pelé played with Santos FC from 1956 to 1974. A funeral is expected to be held on Tuesday morning following a procession.


Pelé had been diagnosed with a colon tumor in September 2021; however, the following year his health took a turn for the worse after he was treated for three malignant tumors, urinary tract infection, as well as care for general swelling of the body and heart failure. He was ultimately placed on palliative care, with family members in the last several days sharing photos from the hospital of his final days.



Russian troops strike four command posts in Ukraine operation — top brass

Russian troops strike four command posts in Ukraine operation — top brass

Russian troops strike four command posts in Ukraine operation — top brass




Russian Defense Ministry Spokesman Igor Konashenkov
© Russian Defence Ministry/TASS






Russian missile troops and artillery struck four Ukrainian command posts in the past day during the special military operation in Ukraine, Defense Ministry Spokesman Lieutenant-General Igor Konashenkov reported on Thursday.







"Russian missile and artillery troops struck four Ukrainian army command posts in the area of the city of Kherson, the communities of Kupyansk, Novoosinovo in the Kharkov Region and Gavrilovka in the Dnepropetrovsk Region, and also 83 artillery units at firing positions, manpower and military hardware in 102 areas," the spokesman said.


"In the city of Seversk in the Donetsk People’s Republic, a Msta-B howitzer was obliterated and D-20 and D-30 howitzers were wiped out in areas near the settlements of Ivanovka in the Donetsk People’s Republic and Orekhov in the Zaporozhye Region," the general said.


Russian troops delivered strikes against Ukrainian army units in the Kharkov Region, eliminating over 20 militants in the past day, Konashenkov reported.


The Russia drone managed to destroy a Ukrainian Msta-B howitzer that was shelling, civil facilities and civilian houses


"In the Kupyansk direction, artillery strikes inflicted damage on the Ukrainian army units in areas near the communities of Timkovka, Kislovka and Berestovoye in the Kharkov Region. Over 20 Ukrainian military personnel, two combat armored vehicles and three motor vehicles were eliminated," the spokesman said.







Russian artillery and combat aircraft eliminated over 70 servicemen of the Ukrainian army’s 95th air assault brigade in the Krasny Liman area in the past day, Konashenkov reported.


"In the Krasny Liman area, artillery fire, assault and army aviation strikes against units of the Ukrainian army’s 95th air assault brigade in the area of the Serebryansky forestry eliminated as many as 70 Ukrainian military personnel, three combat armored vehicles and five pickup trucks," the spokesman said.


The Russians managed to destroy two Ukrainian gunship helicopters which fired on civilian facilities and civilian homes


Russian troops gained new advantageous sites in their advance in the Donetsk area in the past day, Konashenkov reported.


"In the Donetsk direction, Russian troops continued their offensive operations, taking new advantageous frontiers and positions. The enemy’s losses in that area in the past 24 hours amounted to over 80 Ukrainian servicemen killed and wounded, four infantry fighting vehicles, three combat armored vehicles and six motor vehicles," the spokesman said.







Russian forces eliminated about 30 Ukrainian troops in the southern Donetsk area in the past day, Konashenkov reported.


"In the southern Donetsk area, artillery fire and active operations of Russian troops inflicted damage on the Ukrainian army units in areas near the settlements of Sladkoye, Vladimirovka, Pavlovka and Velikaya Novosyolka in the Donetsk People’s Republic. As many as 30 Ukrainian troops, two combat armored vehicles and four pickup trucks were destroyed," the spokesman said.


Russian special military operation at night


Russian troops eliminated two Ukrainian subversive groups in the Donetsk People’s Republic and the Zaporozhye Region in the past day, Konashenkov reported.


"In areas near the settlements of Vremevka in the Donetsk People’s Republic and Levadnoye in the Zaporozhye Region, two enemy subversive groups were eliminated," the spokesman said.








Russian forces destroyed two US-made M777 howitzers in the Kharkov Region in the past day, Konashenkov reported.


"In the counter-battery warfare, two M777 artillery systems of US manufacture were destroyed near the settlement of Kruglyakovka in the Kharkov Region," the spokesman said.


In addition, Russian troops uncovered and destroyed a US-made HIMARS multiple rocket launcher in the area of the settlement of Konstantinovka in the Donetsk People’s Republic, the general said.


Combat aircraft of the Russian Aerospace Forces shot down Ukrainian Su-25 and Su-24 warplanes and two enemy Mi-8 helicopters in the past day, Konashenkov reported.


"Fighter aircraft of the Russian Aerospace Forces shot down Ukrainian Air Force Su-25 and Su-24 planes in the areas of the settlements of Krasny Liman and Kramatorsk. In addition, two Ukrainian Mi-8 helicopters were downed in areas near the settlements of Suvorov and Orlovka in the Donetsk People’s Republic," the spokesman said.


Russian air defense forces intercepted four HIMARS and Uragan rockets in the past day, Konashenkov reported.







"In the past 24 hours, Russian air defense capabilities intercepted four rockets of HIMARS and Uragan multiple launch rocket systems in areas near the settlements of Popasnaya in the Lugansk People’s Republic, Peremozhnoye and Tarasovka in the Zaporozhye Region," the spokesman said.


During the last 24-hour period, Russian air defense systems shot down seven Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles near the communities of Pshenichnoye, Kremennaya, Chervonaya Dibrova and Koshelevka in the Lugansk People’s Republic, Kirillovka in the Donetsk People’s Republic and also Lyubimovka in the Kherson Region, the general specified.


In all, the Russian Armed Forces have destroyed 354 Ukrainian warplanes, 194 helicopters, 2,741 unmanned aerial vehicles, 399 surface-to-air missile systems, 7,296 tanks and other combat armored vehicles, 953 multiple rocket launchers, 3,742 field artillery guns and mortars and 7,810 special military motor vehicles since the beginning of the special military operation in Ukraine, Konashenkov reported.


Masjid Al Jabbar Diharapkan Dapat Tingkatkan Kunjungan Wisatawan Asing ke Jawa Barat

Masjid Al Jabbar Diharapkan Dapat Tingkatkan Kunjungan Wisatawan Asing ke Jawa Barat

Masjid Al Jabbar Diharapkan Dapat Tingkatkan Kunjungan Wisatawan Asing ke Jawa Barat










Masjid Raya Al Jabbar di Gedebage, Kota Bandung yang akan segera diresmikan, diharapkan nantinya tidak hanya menjadi pusat kegiatan ibadah baru bagi masyarakat.







Pemerintah Provinsi Jawa Barat menyatakan mereka juga berharap kehadiran masjid itu bisa menjadi daya tarik baru dalam konteks promosi luar negeri.


Pelaksana Tugas Kepala Biro Pemerintahan dan Otda Pemprov Jabar Dodit Ardian Pancapana menuturkan hadirnya Masjid Al Jabbar menambah "landmark baru bagi promosi Jawa Barat.


Menurut dia Masjid Al Jabbar yang bisa menampung sekitar 50.000 jamaah itu akan menjadi bagian materi promosi luar negeri.


"Kalau dulu landmark Jabar hanya Gedung Sate, sekarang ada yang baru. Tentu akan muncul dalam materi promosi kita di luar negeri atau relasi internasional. Apalagi secara arsitektur ini luar biasa," ujar Dodit, pada hari Kamis, 29/12/2022.


Tak hanya itu, kata Dodit, Masjid Raya Al Jabbar bisa dijadikan lokasi baru untuk menggelar kegiatan yang berhubungan dengan kerja sama luar negeri.







"Jadi Al Jabbar itu dari segi fungsi jadi sentral ibadah yang nanti akan dikembangkan untuk lebih mengenalkan Jabar di skala internasional. Jadi tak hanya sebagai tempat syiar, tapi bisa jadi bagian ikhtiar untuk menjangkau umat muslim internasional," kata dia.


Masjid Al Jabbar memiliki kontruksi bangunan yang megah dan istimewa. Selain sebagai tempat beribadah, Masjid Al Jabbar mempunyai fungsi edukasi, wisata, dan sosial.


Manajer Produksi Proyek Pembangunan Masjid Al Jabbar Affy Primadhian menuturkan, ada banyak keistimewaan dalam masjid yang didesain langsung Gubernur Jabar Ridwan Kamil sewaktu masih jadi Wali Kota Bandung tersebut, terutama dari sisi konstruksi. Salah satunya, bangunan utama tanpa tiang tengah.


"Pembangunan Masjid Al Jabbar ini banyak hal istimewanya, terutama dari segi desain yang sudah dirancang sendiri oleh Bapak Ridwan Kamil. Suatu tantangan buat kami untuk menyelesaikan pekerjaan ini agar sesuai desain yang diharapkan," katanya.







Menurut Affy Primadhian, ada banyak tantangan yang dihadapinya. Namun, perlahan dan pasti, satu per satu konstruksi Masjid Al Jabbar dapat terealisasi sesuai dengan harapan. [



Peresmian Masjid Al-Jabbar, Polisi Berlakukan Rekayasa Lalu Lintas di Gedebage Bandung



Polrestabes Bandung akan menerjunkan ratusan personel dan melakukan rekayasa arus lalu lintas saat kegiatan peresmian mesjid Al Jabbar, pada hari Jumat ini, 30/12/2022.


"Total ada 531 personel yang disiapkan," kata KBO Satlantas Polrestabes Bandung AKP Deden Juandi yang dihubungi pada hari Kamis, 29/12/2022.


Nantinya, ratusan personel ini bakal ditempatkan di sejumlah titik lokasi, mulai dari kawasan Jalan Soekarno-Hatta, Gedebage, pintu Kereta Api Cimincrang, kantung parkir GBLA dan sekitaran Mesjid Al Jabbar.


Polisi juga bakal melakukan rekayasa arus lalu lintas yang dilakukan di kawasan Cimencrang, Gedebage, Kota Bandung, tepatnya dari arah Rancanumpang Selatan ke arah objek Masjid Al Jabbar.








Saat Libur Nataru Pengendara Diimbau Istirahat di Rest Area Cuma 30 Menit "Dari arah Rancanumpang selatan ke arah arah objek masjid Al-Jabbar satu arah, kalau dari arah Soekarno Hatta lewat Jalan Cimincrang itu dua arah," sambung Deden.


Sosialisasi peresmian Masjid Al Jabbar ini telah dilakukan Forum Komunikasi Pimpinan Daerah (Forkopimda) seminggu sebelum acara.


Begitu pun dengan rekayasa yang dilakukan kepolisian nanti. Dengan begitu warga di sekitar sudah mengetahui adanya kegiatan.



Sanctions Failed to Crack Russia, German Media Says

Sanctions Failed to Crack Russia, German Media Says

Sanctions Failed to Crack Russia, German Media Says




©Sputnik / Кирилл Каллиников / Go to the mediabank






The European Union introduced a ninth package of sanctions against Russia in December, including new export controls and banking, broadcasting, consulting, and energy sector restrictions. The West has now leveled over 13,000 sanctions against Moscow – more than against Iran, Syria, North Korea, Belarus, Venezuela and Myanmar combined.







Anti-Russian sanctions aren’t having the devastating effect the West hoped they would, and haven’t served to collapse Russia’s economy, German media have reported, citing economic data for the current year and projections for 2023.


According to Deutschlandfunk, the sanctions “weapon” the West has opted for in its “economic war” against Moscow have not yielded the hoped for results, with the International Monetary Fund revising projections issued in the spring of an 8-9 percent drop in Russian GDP to a more modest contraction of 3.5 percent.


“Some economists thought the thick end would not arrive until 2023. But the forecasts for the coming year as not as gloomy as one might expect,” the outlet continued, pointing to an IMF forecast from October that the Russian economy would shrink by 2.3 percent in the coming year.


Unfortunately for the brainiacs behind anti-Russian sanctions, “all forecasts agree that the Russian economy will not be brought to its knees by sanctions in the next year, either,” Deutschlandfunk added.







German media attributed Russia’s resilience to the global jump in oil and gas prices, which have allowed Moscow to make good money even off reduced export volumes of its hydrocarbons after Western countries reduced imports. On top of that, the outlet pointed out that while a handful of foreign companies left Russia this year, “most stayed,” while others sold their businesses to Russian nationals, who have continued operations.


Furthermore, in areas where Western companies or products have disappeared, Russian importers have stepped in to replace them, often via so-called parallel imports (i.e. goods imported by unlicensed distributors). “In other words, something is always missing in Russia, including on the store shelves, but usually not completely and not for long.”


Deutschlandfunk expressed hopes that the dragging out of the conflict in Ukraine would cause Russia the economic pain that sanctions apparently haven’t, including worker shortages due to partial mobilization, and more spending on defense and security as opposed to sectors like infrastructure or education. “And that can cost the Russian economy a lot of strength in the long term,” the outlet concluded.


The European Union put together a new package of sanctions against Russia in mid-December. Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova warned that the restrictions would inevitably boomerang back on Brussels and add to the bloc’s social and economic woes, just as earlier sanctions have.







The EU is hanging on the brink of recession, with most economists predicting that the majority of the bloc’s economies will plunge into the red sometime in the coming year. Latvia became the first EU country to go into recession in October, with Estonia following suit in November. More nations, including regional heavyweight Germany, are expected to join the tiny Baltic economies as the impact of Europe's largely self-inflicted energy crisis makes itself felt.




Italy Ready to Become Guarantor of Peace Agreement on Ukraine - Prime Minister



Italy is ready to act as a guarantor of a possible peace agreement on Ukraine, Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni said on Thursday.


"There are difficulties in guaranteeing the peace process later, so I have told [Ukrainian President Volodymyr] Zelensky that Italy is ready to become a guarantor of a possible peace agreement and is ready to assist in this process," Meloni told at a press conference.








In this regard, the Italian prime minister also announced her intention to visit Kiev before the end of February 2023, since "February 24 may become the date by which something can be done as part of an open initiative."